From antecedents to intention — and the gap to behavior

The theory of planned behavior combines three antecedents into a single intention score, each scored −3 to +3 and weighted (attitude 0.45, norm 0.20, control 0.35). A positive intention is realized as a birth only imperfectly, and each point of negative perceived control removes a further 10 percentage points at the behavior stage. The default values reproduce the worked example.

Attitude toward a child (A)2.0
Subjective norm (SN)1.0
Perceived control (PBC)-1.0
−30+3IntentionI = 0.75Birth in 3y45%
I = 0.45(2.0) + 0.20(1.0) + 0.35(-1.0) = 0.75. A net-positive intention, realized as a birth about 45% of the time — pulled down from the 55% base by negative perceived control. She is more likely than not to intend a child yet not have one in three years — the asymmetric gap.

Mate preferences: differences of degree, shared core

Parental-investment theory predicts the higher-investing sex (women) weights cues to a mate’s ability to invest, and the lower-investing sex (men) weights cues to fertility. Across 37 cultures Buss (1989) found exactly that direction — but as differences of degree against a backdrop where both sexes rate kindness and intelligence highest.

Kindness9.28.9Intelligence8.88.4Resources & status7.45.1Youth & attractiveness5.67.9
WomenMen
The two traits with the largest sex difference are resources/status and youth/attractiveness, in the directions parental-investment theory predicts; resources & status shows the widest gap here. Yet the two highest-rated traits overall — kindness and intelligence — are shared, so the sex differences are real but sit atop large common ground, not categorical opposites.

The tempo effect: the same intention, started later

A person who intends a fixed family size realizes fewer of those children the later they start, because fecundity declines with age and the remaining fertile years shrink. Delay is only partly recovered — the uncaptured remainder lowers completed fertility even when the intended number never changes.

Intended children2
Age at first attempt27
intended 22227323742Age at first birthChildren
Starting at 27, the model realizes 2.0 of 2 intended children — essentially the full intended family, because there is still ample fertile time.